云南高原曲靖市与楚雄市近60年降水特征对比分析

楚雄师范学院学报 ›› 2020, Vol. 35 ›› Issue (6): 104-114.

云南高原曲靖市与楚雄市近60年降水特征对比分析

姬莹雪¹, 何萍, 赵琳³

1.云南师范大学地理学部,云南昆明 650500;
2.楚雄师范学院地理科学与旅游管理学院,云南楚雄 675000;
3.百色学院管理科学与工程学院,广西百色 533000

收稿日期:2020-10-20 出版日期:2020-11-20 发布日期:2021-03-29
通讯作者: * 何萍（1965–）,女,硕士生导师,二级教授,研究方向为气象、气候与自然地理综合。E-mail：1256252387@qq.com,Tel. 13987853461
作者简介:姬莹雪（1996–）,女,硕士研究生,研究方向为气象、气候与自然地理综合。E-mail：1351691701@qq.com
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金项目(NO.41465001)

A Comparative Analysis of the Precipitation Period in Urban Qujing and urban Chuxiong in the Yunnan Plateau in the Past 60 Years

JI Yingxue, HE Ping, ZHAO Lin

Faculty of Geography, Yunnan Normal University, Kunming, Yunnan Province 650500;
College of Geographical Science and Tourism Management, Chuxiong Normal University, Chuxiong, Yunnan Province 675000;
School of Management Science and Engineering, Baise University, Baise, Guangxi Autonomous Region 533000

Received:2020-10-20 Online:2020-11-20 Published:2021-03-29

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 利用曲靖市和楚雄市的降水资料,对1960~2019年两城市的降水特征进行对比分析,并剖析两个城市降水产生差异的原因。结果表明：从年降水量上看,曲靖市的年均降水大于楚雄市,但从年总体降水量变化趋势来看,曲靖市呈减少趋势,而楚雄市呈增加趋势;曲靖市与楚雄市的降水主周期都为37年;在季节降水量上,曲靖市无论是雨季还是干季的年均降水量都要大于楚雄市,两城市雨季年均降水量呈不同的变化趋势,曲靖市雨季呈下降趋势,楚雄市呈上升趋势,而两城市干季降水量都呈上升趋势;在雨季两市由于受到季风的影响程度不同,所以降水有所差异;而干季降水量产生差异的主要原因是曲靖受昆明准静止锋的影响多阴雨天气,而楚雄干季受山脉阻挡和西风气流的影响,以干暖天气为主。

关键词: 降水特征, 曲靖市, 楚雄市, M-K突变检验, 小波分析

Abstract: A comparative analysis of the precipitation characteristics of urban Qujing and urban Chuxiong from 1960 to 2019 was carried out with precipitation data of Qujing and Chuxiong and the reasons for the differences in precipitation between the two cities were analyzed. The results show: ①In terms of annual precipitation, the average annual precipitation in urban Qujing is greater than that in urban Chuxiong, but from the perspective of the overall annual precipitation change trend, Qujing shows a decreasing trend while Chuxiong shows an increasing one; the main cycle of precipitation in both Qujing and Chuxiong is 37 years; ②In terms of seasonal precipitation, the average annual precipitation in urban Qujing is greater than that in urban Chuxiong in both the rainy and the dry seasons, and the average annual precipitation in the rainy season of the two cities shows different trends, that of Qujing downward while that of Chuxiong upward. The dry season precipitation in the two cities both show an upward trend; ③In the rainy season, the two cities are affected by the monsoon to different degrees, so the precipitation is different; and ④The main reason for the difference in the precipitation in the dry season is that Qujing is affected by the Kunming quasi-stationary front and the rainy weather, while the Chuxiong dry season is subject to influences of mountain blockade and westerly airflow and is thus characterized mainly by a dry and warm weather.

Key words: precipitation characteristic, urban Qujing, urban Chuxiong, M-K mutation test, wavelet analysis

中图分类号:

P468.274.005

姬莹雪, 何萍, 赵琳. 云南高原曲靖市与楚雄市近60年降水特征对比分析[J]. 楚雄师范学院学报, 2020, 35(6): 104-114.

JI Yingxue, HE Ping, ZHAO Lin. A Comparative Analysis of the Precipitation Period in Urban Qujing and urban Chuxiong in the Yunnan Plateau in the Past 60 Years[J]. Journal of Chuxiong Normal University, 2020, 35(6): 104-114.

参考文献

[1] IPCC Climate Change 2001:Impact adaptation and vulnerability [M] Change 2001:Impact adaptation and vulnerability [M].Cambridge UK:Cambridge University Press.2001.
[2] Shi N,Chen L W.Annual precipitation fields secular variation over global land areas for 1948–2000[J].Chinese Science Bulletin,2003,48(3):281–286.
[3] Li J M,Ruirui Si.Spatiotemporal distribution of precipitation recycling across the arid regions of Asia and Africa[J].Journal of Geoscience and Environment Protection,2018,6(9):195–206.
[4] Duhan D,Pandey A.Statistical analysis of long term spatial and temporal trends of precipitation during 1901–2002 at Madhya Pradesh,India[J] .Atmospheric Research,2013,122:136–149.
[5] MilovanovićB,Schuster P,RadovanovićM,et al.Spatial and temporal variability of precipitation in Serbia for the period 1961~2010[J].Theoretical and Applied Climatology.2017,130(1–2):687–700.
[6] 严华生,严小冬.中国降水场的时空分布变化[J].云南大学学报(自然科学版),2004,26(1):38–43.
Yan H S,Yan X D.The spatial and temporal distribution variation of precipitation field over China[J].Journal of Yunnan University,2004,26(1):38–43.
[7] 陈洁,刘玉洁,潘韬,等.1961~2010年中国降水时空变化特征及对地表干湿状况影响[J].自然资源学报,2019,34(11):2440–2453.
Chen J,Liu Y J,Pan T,et al.Spatiotemporal variation of precipitation in China and its impact on surface dry-wet conditions during 1961~2010[J].Journal of Natural Resources,2019,34(11):2440–2453.
[8] 夏阳,万雪丽,严小冬,等.中国西南地区春季降水的时空变化及其异常的环流特征[J].气象学报,2016.74(4):510–524.
Xia Y,Wan X L,Yan X D, et al.Variations of spring precipitation over southwest China and characteristic circulations for precipitation anomalies[J].Acta Meteorologica Sinica,2016,74(4):510–524.
[9] 潘建华.中国西南地区时雨量分布特征与时月变化[J].灾害学,2019,34(4):113–120.
Pan J H.Distribution characteristics and variation of hourly precipitation in southwest China[J].Journal of Catastrophology,2019,34(4):113–120.
[10] 刘稳,刘国东,夏菁.近57年云南降水量时空格局及周期特性研究[J].人民长江,2018,49(增刊2):80–85+123.
Liu W,Liu G D,Xia J.Study on temporal and spatial distribution patterns and periodic characteristics of precipitation in Yunnan Province in recent 57 years [J].Yangtze River,2018,49(Supplement Ⅱ):80–85+123.
[11] 赵琳,何萍.1967~2016年云南高原中部城市群降水时空变化特征分析[J].云南师范大学报(自然科学版),2019,39(3):71–78.
Zhao L,He P.Temporal and spatial variation of precipitation in urban cluster of central Yunnan Plateau from 1967 to 2016[J].Journal of Yunnan Normal University,2019,39(3):71–78.
[12] 何萍,李矜霄,许国琴,等.云南高原楚雄市降水分布与旱涝灾害分析[J].地球与环境,2014,42(2):162–167.
He P,Li J X,Xu G Q,et al.Analysis of precipitation distribution and drought and flood disasters in Chuxiong City on the Yunnan plateau[J].Earth and Environment,2014,42(2):162–167.
[13] 胡嘉佳,曹壹梅.云南昆明地区年季降水量空间演变特征分析[J].水利规划与设计,2020,(4):36–39+119.
Hu J J,Cao Y M.Characteristic analysis of spatial evolving process of annual precipitation in Kunming,Yunnan [J].Water Resources Planning and Design,2020,(4):36–39+119.
[14] 俞涵,杨明,李洋.中国西南地区近30年夏季降水特征及成因分析[J].农村实用技术,2020,(5):176–177.
Yu H,Yang M,Li Y.Analysis of characteristics and causes of summer precipitation in southwest China in the past 30 Years[J].Applicable Technology for Rural Areas,2020,(5):176–177.
[15] 刘扬,刘屹岷.我国西南地区秋季降水年际变化的空间差异及其成因[J].大气科学,2016,40(6):1215–1226.
Liu Y,Li Y M.Spatial pattern and causes of interannual variability of autumn rainfall in southwest China[J].Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences,2016,40(6):1215–1226.
[16] 史悦.云南降水的气候变化特征及主要成因研究[D].昆明:云南大学,2018.
Shi Y.Climate change characteristics and causes of precipitation in Yunnan [D].Kunming:Yunnan University,2018.
[17] 陶云,黄玮,郑建萌,等.云南冬季降水的演变特征及成因分析[J].高原气象,2014,33(1):130–139.
Tao Y,Huang W,Zheng J M,et al.Evolutive features and its causes of the wintertime precipitation in Yunnan province[J].Plateau Meteorology,2014,33(1):130–139.
[18] 王欢,李栋梁.人类活动排放的CO₂及气溶胶对20世纪70年代末中国东部夏季降水年代际转折的影响[J].气象学报,2019,77(2):327–345.
Wang H,Li D L.Effects of anthropogenic emissions of CO₂ and aerosols on decadal transition of summer precipitation over eastern China in the late 1970s[J].Acta Meteorologica Sinica,2019,77(2):327–345.
[19] 于赢东.强人类活动区降水演变规律剖析及影响因子识别[D].北京:中国水利水电科学研究院,2018.
Yu Y D.Analysis of precipitation variation and identification of influencing factors in strong human activity areas [D].Beijing:China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research,2018.
[20] 魏凤英.现代气候统计诊断与预测技术[M].北京:气象出版社,2007.
Wei F Y.Modern climate statistical diagnosis and prediction technology [M].Beijing:China Meteorological Press,2007.
[21] 周伟.基于MATLAB的小波分析应用[M].西安:西安电子科技大学出版社,2010.
Zhou W.Application of wavelet analysis based on MATLAB [M].Xi’an:Xidian University Press,2010.
[22] 刘二根,王广超,朱旭生.MATLAB与数学实验[M].北京:国防工业出版社,2014.
Wan E G,Wang G C,Zhu X S.MATLAB and mathematical experiment [M].Beijing:National Defense Industry Press,2014.
[23] 明庆忠,童绍玉.云南地理[M].北京:北京师范大学出版社,2016.
Ming Q Z,Tong S Y.Yunnan Geography [M].Beijing:Beijing Normal University Press,2016.
[24] 周跃,吕喜玺,许建初,等.云南省气候变化影响评估报告[M].北京:气象出版社,2011.
Zhou Y,Lv X X,Xu J C,et al.China climate change impact report:Yunnan Province [M].Beijing:China Meteorological Press,2011.
[25] 段旭,段玮,邢冬,等.冬春季昆明准静止锋与云贵高原地形的关系[J].高原气象,2018,37(1):137–147.
Duan X,Duan W,Xing D, et al.The relationship between Kunming quasi-stationary front and Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau Terrain[J].Plateau Meteorology,2018,37(1):137–147.
[26] 何萍,李矜霄,付永梅,等.滇中城市降水特征及其成因分析[J].北京大学学报(自然科学版),2019,55(4):626–634.
He P,Li J X,Fu Y M, et al,Analysis of precipitation characteristics and its causes in central Yunnan city[J].Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis,2019,55(4):626–634.