交通基础设施与流通产业协同发展的数学模型分析

楚雄师范学院学报 ›› 2021, Vol. 36 ›› Issue (3): 22-26.

交通基础设施与流通产业协同发展的数学模型分析

林棽

滁州职业技术学院经济贸易系,安徽滁州 239000

收稿日期:2018-12-15 出版日期:2021-05-20 发布日期:2021-07-23
作者简介:林棽（1982–）,女,硕士,滁州职业技术学院经济贸易系讲师,主要研究方向为产业集聚。E-mail： 1666757488@qq.com

Mathematical Model Analysis on the Coordinated Development of Transportation Infrastructure and Circulation Industry

LIN Wei

Department of Economics and Trade, Chuzhou Polytechnic, Chuzhou, Anhui Province 239000

Received:2018-12-15 Online:2021-05-20 Published:2021-07-23

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 为研究交通基础设施与流通业之间相互发展的机制,利用2003~2016年全国30个省区市的交通基础设施和流通产业发展的有关数据建立面板数据模型进行实证分析。研究结果表明：交通基础设施与流通产业互为格兰杰因果关系;流通产业发展的短期波动对交通基础设施投资的短期波动有正向影响,而交通基础设施投资的短期波动对流通产业发展的短期波动影响不显著;交通基础设施投资与流通产业发展的相互作用水平在不同省份之间存在较大差异。

关键词: 交通基础设施, 流通产业, 互动影响, 协整检验

Abstract: In order to study the mechanism of mutual development between traffic infrastructure and circulation industry, this paper uses the data of traffic infrastructure and circulation industry development of 30 provinces, regions and municipalities in 2003-2016 to establish panel data model for empirical analysis. The results show that: 1) transportation infrastructure and circulation industry are mutually Granger causality; 2) the short-term fluctuation of circulation industry development has a positive impact on the short-term fluctuation of transportation infrastructure investment, while the short-term fluctuation of transportation infrastructure investment has no significant impact on the short-term fluctuation of circulation industry development; and 3) the interaction level of transportation infrastructure investment and circulation industry development is different and there are big differences across provinces.

Key words: transportation infrastructure, circulation industry, interaction effect, cointegration test

中图分类号:

林棽. 交通基础设施与流通产业协同发展的数学模型分析[J]. 楚雄师范学院学报, 2021, 36(3): 22-26.

LIN Wei. Mathematical Model Analysis on the Coordinated Development of Transportation Infrastructure and Circulation Industry[J]. Journal of Chuxiong Normal University, 2021, 36(3): 22-26.

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